Recent Papers


From the Postwar World Economy to the Modern World Economy, 1973-2023

Maurice Obstfeld

In Floating Exchange Rates at Fifty, edited by Douglas A. Irwin and Maurice Obstfeld, Peterson Institute for International Economics, 2024

 

Economic Multilateralism 80 Years after Bretton Woods

Maurice Obstfeld

Symposium on “The Changing World Order, Global Economic Governance, and Liberal Internationalism,” Oxford Review of Economic Policy, forthcoming in 2024

 

Lessons of Keynes’s Economic Consequences in a Turbulent Century

Patricia Clavin, Giancarlo Corsetti, Maurice Obstfeld, and Adam Tooze

In Keynes's Economic Consequences of the Peace after 100 Years: Polemics and Policy, Cambridge University Press, 2023

 

Post-War Macroeconomic Framework for Ukraine

Beatrice Weder di Mauro, Kenneth Rogoff, Ilona Sologoub, Tymofiy Mylovanov, Maurice Obstfeld, Simon Johnson, Sergei Guriev, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Barry Eichengreen, and Torbjörn Becker

Rapid Response Economics 3, CEPR Press, July 2023

 

Perspectives on r-bar and r-star

Maurice Obstfeld

The Mayekawa Lecture, Bank of Japan, May 31, 2023

 

Natural and Neutral Real Interest Rates: Past and Future

Maurice Obstfeld

Presented at the Asian Monetary Policy Forum, Singapore, May 26, 2023, and the IMF 24th Jacques Polak Annual Research Conference, November 9, 2023

 

Calvo, Currencies, and Commitment

Maurice Obstfeld

Presented at The Credibility of Government Policies: Conference in Honor of Guillermo Calvo, Columbia University, February 23-24, 2023

 

Personal Reflections on Robert Mundell

Maurice Obstfeld

Remarks at the 23rd IMF Jacques Polak Annual Research Conference, livestreamed to the memorial service for Robert A. Mundell at St. Paul’s chapel, Columbia University, November 11, 2022.

 

The Global Dollar Cycle

Maurice Obstfeld and Haonan Zhou

Presented at the Brookings Papers on Economic Activity conference, Brookings Institution, September 8-9, 2022

 

Macroeconomic Policies for Wartime Ukraine

Torbjörn Becker, Barry Eichengreen, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Sergei Guriev, Simon Johnson, Tymofiy Mylovanov, Maurice Obstfeld, Kenneth Rogoff, and Beatrice Weder di Mauro

Rapid Response Economics 2, CEPR Press, August 2022

 

Global Economic Recovery in the Face of COVID-19

Maurice Obstfeld

In New Normal, New Technologies, New Financing, edited by Lili Yan Ing and Dani Rodrik, Economic Research Institute for ASEAN and East Asia (ERIA) and International Economic Association, June 2022

 

The International Financial System after COVID-19

Maurice Obstfeld

In Prospects of the Global Economy after Covid-19, edited by Thorsten Beck and Yung Chul Park, CEPR Press, February 2022

 

The Global Capital Market Reconsidered

Maurice Obstfeld

Symposium on “Capitalism: What Has Gone Wrong, What Needs to Change, and How Can It Be Fixed?” Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Winter 2021

 

Globalization and Nationalism: Retrospect and Prospect

Maurice Obstfeld

Contemporary Economic Policy, October 2021

 

Covered Interest Parity Deviations: Macrofinancial Determinants

Eugenio Cerutti, Maurice Obstfeld, and Haonan Zhou

International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2020; Journal of International Economics, May 2021

 

Revisiting Speculative Hyperinflations in Monetary Models

Maurice Obstfeld and Kenneth Rogoff

Review of Economic Dynamics, April 2021

 

Trilemmas and Tradeoffs: Living with Financial Globalization

Maurice Obstfeld

In The Asian Monetary Policy Forum: Insights for Central Banking, edited by Steven J. Davis, Edward S. Robinson, and Bernard Yeung, World Scientific, 2021; reprinted from Global Liquidity Spillovers to Emerging Markets and Policy Responses, edited by Claudio Raddatz, Diego Saravia, and Jaume Ventura, Central Bank of Chile, 2015

 

Two Challenges from Globalization

Maurice Obstfeld

Keynote Speech at the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco 2019 Asia Economic Policy Conference; Journal of International Money and Finance, April 2021

 

Harry Johnson’s “Case for Flexible Exchange Rates” – 50 Years Later

Maurice Obstfeld

The Harry G. Johnson Lecture at the London School of Economics, September 2019; The Manchester School, September 2020

 

Globalization Cycles

Maurice Obstfeld

Italian Economic Journal, March 2020

 

Global Dimensions of U.S. Monetary Policy

Maurice Obstfeld

International Journal of Central Banking, February 2020 (a special issue collecting papers from the Federal Reserve System Conference on Monetary Policy Strategy, Tools, and Communication Practices, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, June 4-5, 2019)

 

Introduction

Luis Catão and Maurice Obstfeld

From Meeting Globalization’s Challenges: Policies to Make Trade Work for All, Princeton University Press, 2019

 

Revisiting the Economic Case for Fiscal Union in the Euro Area

Helge Berger, Giovanni Dell'Ariccia, and Maurice Obstfeld

IMF Economic Review, September 2019

 

A Tie that Binds: Revisiting the Trilemma in Emerging Market Economies

Maurice Obstfeld, Jonathan D. Ostry, and Mahvash S. Qureshi

Review of Economics and Statistics, May 2019

 

China’s Bond Market and Global Financial Markets

Eugenio Cerutti and Maurice Obstfeld

In The Future of China's Bond Market, edited by Alfred Schipke, Markus Rodlauer, and Longmei Zhang, International Monetary Fund, 2019

 

Addressing Climate Change: Does the IMF Have a Role?

Maurice Obstfeld

In Coping with the Climate Crisis: Mitigation Policies and Global Coordination, edited by Rabah Arezki, Patrick Bolton, Karim El Aynaoui, and Maurice Obstfeld, Columbia University Press, 2018

 

Global Financial Cycles and the Exchange Rate Regime: A Perspective from Emerging Markets

Maurice Obstfeld, Jonathan D. Ostry, and Mahvash S. Qureshi

American Economic Review: Papers and Proceedings, May 2018

 

In Search of the Armington Elasticity

Robert C. Feenstra, Philip Luck, Maurice Obstfeld, and Katheryn N. Russ

Review of Economics and Statistics, March 2018

 

Twenty-Five Years of Global Imbalances

Maurice Obstfeld

In Sustaining Economic Growth in Asia, edited by Jérémie Cohen-Setton, Thomas Helbling, Adam Posen, and Changyong Rhee, Peterson Institute for International Economics, 2018

 

International Monetary Relations: Taking Finance Seriously

Maurice Obstfeld and Alan M. Taylor

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Summer 2017

 

The Initial Economic Impact of Brexit: An Update to Early December 2016

Maurice Obstfeld

Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Fall 2016

 

Macroeconomic Management When Policy Space Is Constrained: A Comprehensive, Consistent, and Coordinated Approach to Economic Policy

Vitor Gaspar, Maurice Obstfeld, and Ratna Sahay

IMF Staff Discussion Note SDN/16/09, September 2016

 

How to Improve Inflation Targeting in Canada

Maurice Obstfeld, Kevin Clinton, Ondra Kamenik, Douglas Laxton, Yulia Ustyugova, and Hou Wang

IMF Working Paper WP/16/192, September 2016

 

The Euro and the Geography of International Debt Flows

Galina Hale and Maurice Obstfeld

Journal of the European Economic Association, February 2016

 

The International Monetary System: Living with Asymmetry

Maurice Obstfeld

In Globalization in an Age of Crisis, edited by Robert C. Feenstra and Alan M. Taylor, University of Chicago Press, 2014.

 

Never Say Never: Commentary on a Policymaker’s Reflections

Maurice Obstfeld

IMF Economic Review, November 2014

 

On Keeping Your Powder Dry: Fiscal Foundations of Financial and Price Stability

Maurice Obstfeld

Monetary and Economic Studies (Bank of Japan), November 2013

 

Finance at Center Stage: Some Lessons of the Euro Crisis

Maurice Obstfeld

European Economy Economic Papers, European Commission Directorate-General for Economic and Financial Affairs, April 2013